Climate risk in Birmingham
England, United Kingdom · 2.3M people in the urban area
What threatens Birmingham most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United Kingdom
Drought risk in Birmingham: High, on WRI's scale.
Glasgow: Medium-High.
High © OpenStreetMap Birmingham's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Birmingham is projected to have the climate that Rotterdam (Netherlands) has today.
+1.1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.8°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Birmingham would have the climate that Rotterdam (Netherlands) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.0 σ to the climate of Rotterdam today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Birmingham
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Birmingham | Among large cities | In United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 0 days | ||
| Hottest day of 2025 | 31.6°C | Among large cities: above 14% | In United Kingdom: 2 of 6 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1°C | Among large cities: above 1% | In United Kingdom: 2 of 6 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In United Kingdom: 5 of 6 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In United Kingdom: 2 of 6 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In United Kingdom: 1 of 6 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.55 m/s² | Among large cities: above 48% | In United Kingdom: 2 of 6 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Birmingham on the live map
See the hottest days around Birmingham on the live map
31.6°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Birmingham
- Sheffield · United Kingdom
- Manchester · United Kingdom
- Leeds · United Kingdom
- London · United Kingdom
Large cities in United Kingdom
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Birmingham, United Kingdom: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/GBR/birmingham BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_GBR_birmingham_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Birmingham, United Kingdom: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/GBR/birmingham},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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