Climate risk in Incheon
Incheon, South Korea · 2.6M people in the urban area
What threatens Incheon most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of South Korea
Incheon is projected to be +2.7°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Seoul: +2.8°C.
Incheon's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Incheon's climate comes closest to that of Lianyungang (China) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. South Korea: the place on the map
+1.8°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.8°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+5%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Shucheng (China), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 2.6 σ to the climate of Lianyungang today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Incheon stands out
18 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Seoul: 21 days.
Higher than in 79% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Incheon
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Incheon | Among large cities | In South Korea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 101 days | Among large cities: above 48% | In South Korea: 3 of 9 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 34.7°C | Among large cities: above 35% | In South Korea: 8 of 9 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.7°C | Among large cities: above 92% | In South Korea: 3 of 9 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 18 days | Among large cities: above 79% | In South Korea: 4 of 9 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 184 mm | Among large cities: above 14% | In South Korea: 3 of 5 |
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In South Korea: 2 of 8 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In South Korea: 1 of 8 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.28 m/s² | Among large cities: above 29% | In South Korea: 8 of 9 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 38.02 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Incheon on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Incheon on the live map
18 days © OpenStreetMap Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Incheon, South Korea: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/KOR/incheon BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_KOR_incheon_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Incheon, South Korea: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/KOR/incheon},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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