Climate risk in Ilorin
Kwara State, Nigeria · 1.1M people in the urban area
What threatens Ilorin most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Nigeria
Ilorin had 183 days over 35 °C in 2025.
Lagos: 0 days.
Ilorin's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Ilorin is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Ibadan (Nigeria), is far from it.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Ghana: the place on the map
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Ibadan (Nigeria).
Share this comparison
How close the match is: 6.5 σ to the climate of Ibadan today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 1 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Ilorin stands out
2%
Land burned in an average year
Lagos: 0%.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
355 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Lagos: 365 days.
Higher than in 91% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Ilorin
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Ilorin | Among large cities | In Nigeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 183 days | Among large cities: above 98% | In Nigeria: 3 of 14 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 355 days | Among large cities: above 91% | In Nigeria: 8 of 14 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 39.6°C | Among large cities: above 75% | In Nigeria: 5 of 14 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.7°C | Among large cities: above 31% | In Nigeria: 4 of 14 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 5 days | Among large cities: above 33% | In Nigeria: 11 of 14 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Nigeria: 4 of 14 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Nigeria: 2 of 13 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.15 m/s² | Among large cities: above 17% | In Nigeria: 1 of 14 |
| Land burned in an average year | 2% | Among large cities: above 93% | In Nigeria: 4 of 14 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Ilorin on the live map
See the land burned around Ilorin on the live map
2% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Ilorin
- Ibadan · Nigeria
- Ikare · Nigeria
- Lagos · Nigeria
- Benin City · Nigeria
Large cities in Nigeria
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Ilorin, Nigeria: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/NGA/ilorin BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_NGA_ilorin_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Ilorin, Nigeria: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/NGA/ilorin},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/NGA/ilorin" title="Ilorin, Nigeria: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/NGA/ilorin?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.