Climate risk in Maiduguri
Borno State, Nigeria · 1.1M people in the urban area
What threatens Maiduguri most
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
- River flood
- 0.2 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Nigeria
Maiduguri had 194 days over 35 °C in 2025.
Lagos: 0 days.
Maiduguri's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Maiduguri is projected to have the climate that N'Djamena (Chad) has today.
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.6°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+12%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is N'Djamena (Chad), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 1.6 σ to the climate of N'Djamena today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Maiduguri stands out
0.2 m
River flood depth, 100-year event
Lagos: 1.27 m.
Higher than in 89% of the world's 630 large cities
42.1°C
Hottest day of 2025
Lagos: 32.6°C.
Higher than in 88% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Maiduguri
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Maiduguri | Among large cities | In Nigeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 194 days | Among large cities: above 99% | In Nigeria: 1 of 14 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 248 days | Among large cities: above 82% | In Nigeria: 11 of 14 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 42.1°C | Among large cities: above 88% | In Nigeria: 3 of 14 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.7°C | Among large cities: above 33% | In Nigeria: 2 of 14 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 4 days | Among large cities: above 30% | In Nigeria: 13 of 14 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 0.2 m | Among large cities: above 89% | In Nigeria: 3 of 14 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Nigeria: 4 of 14 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.11 m/s² | Among large cities: above 11% | In Nigeria: 5 of 14 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Nigeria: 7 of 14 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Maiduguri on the live map
See how deep a river flood reaches around Maiduguri on the live map
0.2 m © OpenStreetMap Large cities in Nigeria
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Maiduguri, Nigeria: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/NGA/maiduguri BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_NGA_maiduguri_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Maiduguri, Nigeria: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/NGA/maiduguri},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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