Climate risk in Khartoum
Khartoum, Sudan · 4.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Khartoum most
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
- River flood
- 1.23 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Sudan
Khartoum had 263 days over 35 °C in 2025.
Jeddah: 92 days.
Khartoum's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Khartoum's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Niamey (Niger).
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.6°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.6°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+25%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Khartoum would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 5.8 σ away. How close the match is: 12.1 σ to the climate of Niamey today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Khartoum stands out
45.5°C
Hottest day of 2025
Jeddah: 39.8°C.
Higher than in 97% of the world's 630 large cities
1.23 m
River flood depth, 100-year event
Omdurman: 3.23 m.
Higher than in 96% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Khartoum
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Khartoum | Among large cities | In Sudan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 263 days | Among large cities: above 100% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 275 days | Among large cities: above 84% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 45.5°C | Among large cities: above 97% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.9°C | Among large cities: above 46% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 0 days | ||
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 1.23 m | Among large cities: above 96% | |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.38 m/s² | Among large cities: above 38% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Khartoum on the live map
See the hottest days around Khartoum on the live map
45.5°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Khartoum
- Omdurman · Sudan
- Jeddah · Saudi Arabia
- Addis Ababa · Ethiopia
- Mecca · Saudi Arabia
Large cities in Sudan
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Khartoum, Sudan: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SDN/khartoum BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_SDN_khartoum_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Khartoum, Sudan: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SDN/khartoum},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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