Criora

Climate risk in Singapore

Main risks in Singapore

On heavy rain, Singapore ranks above at least 88% of the world's 626 large cities. Its storm winds, about 79 km/h once in 100 years, stay below hurricane force, though higher than in 76% of large cities. [2]

Heavy rain
22 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [1]
Higher than 88% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Shenzhen 23 days, Pune 23 days, Seoul 21 days.
22 days Natural Earth

Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025

0 60 days
See the heavy rain days around Singapore on the live map 

This week in Singapore

This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [3] [4]

Open the city on the map

The Earth right now

The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.

Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.

Open the live map

Where else Singapore stands out

every night of the year

Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [1]

Higher than 93% of the world's large cities.

For comparison: Bangkok 337 nights, Mumbai 319 nights, Yangon 315 nights.

Singapore's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [5] [6]

By the 2050s, Singapore is projected to have a climate that no large city has today, not even Singapore itself. Of the others, Panama City (Panama) comes closest, and it is still far off.

+1.1 °C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.1 °C

Average daily high, warmest month

+1.1 °C

Average nightly low, coldest month

-2%

Precipitation over the year

If emissions keep rising, it will differ even more from the climate of every large city today.

Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. All 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Panama City. [7]

Everything else measured

From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.

Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years [8] moderate shaking, 0.08 g higher than 55% of large cities
Sea level rise by 2050 over the 1995-2014 average, if emissions level off [9] 20 cm, 15 cm of it after 2020 higher than 43% of large coastal cities
Hottest day of 2025 [1] 30.9 °C higher than 11% of large cities
Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [6] +1.3 °C higher than 9% of large cities
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C [1] 0 days like 37% of large cities
River flood depth, 100-year event [10] Dry at the centre; other districts can flood like 85% of large cities
Share of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) that a 100-year flood from the sea puts under 0.5 m of water or more [10] 0%; 1.1% by 2080 if emissions keep rising like 74% of large coastal cities
Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [11] 0% like 80% of large cities
Land burned in an average year [12] 0% like 84% of large cities
  • Flood depth is given for one 1 km square at the city centre, in today's climate.
  • Earthquake shaking is given for firm ground in g, the acceleration of gravity: around 0.1 g shaking is strong and can cause light damage, on the US Geological Survey's scale. The figure is the typical value over all the land within 15 km of the centre, not that of one point. Soft ground, such as an old lake bed or river silt, shakes harder.
  • Land subsidence comes from a model of satellite radar measurements from 2013 to 2019 in 2 km squares, read over all the land within 15 km of the centre rather than at one point.
  • Sea level rise is the IPCC projection for the nearest coast, counted from the 1995-2014 average. It is on a grid about 100 km across and counts the slow rise or fall of the land. "If emissions level off" is the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
  • Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.

The nearest large cities

Distance from centre to centre.

Large cities in Singapore

Climate risk in Singapore 

Sources

  1. ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: heavy rain, nights, hottest day, hot days
  2. IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind
  3. Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
  4. NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS): wildfire near the city now
  5. TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
  6. NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
  7. Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
  8. GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
  9. IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections: sea level rise
  10. Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: river flood depth, coastal floods
  11. Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
  12. Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land

About these sources 

Cite or embed

Cite this page

In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, IRIS, ECCC, NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, GSHAP, IPCC, WRI, HydroShare, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Singapore, Singapore: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SGP/singapore

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_SGP_singapore_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Singapore, Singapore: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SGP/singapore},
  urldate = {2026-11-04}
}

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