Climate risk in Palembang
South Sumatra, Indonesia · 1.7M people in the urban area
What threatens Palembang most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Indonesia
Palembang had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Bandung: 101 days.
Palembang's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Palembang is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Jakarta (Indonesia), is far from it.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Indonesia: the place on the map
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Jakarta (Indonesia).
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How close the match is: 5.7 σ to the climate of Jakarta today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Palembang stands out
2%
Land burned in an average year
Jakarta: 0%.
The highest of the 11 large cities in Indonesia.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
21 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Jakarta: 24 days.
Higher than in 87% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Palembang
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Palembang | Among large cities | In Indonesia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 2 days | Among large cities: above 43% | In Indonesia: 3 of 11 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Indonesia: 1 of 11 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.4°C | Among large cities: above 43% | In Indonesia: 4 of 11 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 19% | In Indonesia: 8 of 11 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 21 days | Among large cities: above 87% | In Indonesia: 10 of 11 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 195 mm | Among large cities: above 30% | In Indonesia: 5 of 9 |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Indonesia: 9 of 11 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Indonesia: 1 of 11 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.68 m/s² | Among large cities: above 74% | In Indonesia: 9 of 11 |
| Land burned in an average year | 2% | Among large cities: above 93% | In Indonesia: 1 of 11 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Palembang on the live map
See the land burned around Palembang on the live map
2% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Palembang
- Bandar Lampung · Indonesia
- Jakarta · Indonesia
- Bekasi · Indonesia
- Singapore · Singapore
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Palembang, Indonesia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/IDN/palembang BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_IDN_palembang_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Palembang, Indonesia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/IDN/palembang},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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