Climate risk in Dar es Salaam
Dar es Salaam Region, Tanzania · 2.9M people in the urban area
What threatens Dar es Salaam most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Tanzania
Dar es Salaam had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Mwanza: 342 days.
Dar es Salaam's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Dar es Salaam's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Kumasi (Ghana).
+1.1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Quezon City (Philippines).
Its own climate today is 8.9 σ away. How close the match is: 11.7 σ to the climate of Kumasi today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Dar es Salaam
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Dar es Salaam | Among large cities | In Tanzania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 32.6°C | Among large cities: above 19% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.4°C | Among large cities: above 16% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 10 days | Among large cities: above 51% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 216 mm | Among large cities: above 55% | |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.33 m/s² | Among large cities: above 34% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Dar es Salaam on the live map
See the hottest days around Dar es Salaam on the live map
32.6°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities in Tanzania
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TZA/dar-es-salaam BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_TZA_dar_es_salaam_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TZA/dar-es-salaam},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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