Climate risk in Cali
Valle del Cauca Department, Colombia · 2.3M people in the urban area
What threatens Cali most
- Earthquake
- High GSHAP
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Colombia
Cali had 45 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Bogotá: 7 days.
Cali's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Cali is projected to have the climate that Kisangani (Dem. Rep. Congo) has today.
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Kisangani (Dem. Rep. Congo), and only in part.
How close the match is: 1.7 σ to the climate of Kisangani today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Cali stands out
2.8 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Bogotá: 3.27 m/s².
Higher than in 88% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Cali
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Cali | Among large cities | In Colombia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 50 days | Among large cities: above 34% | In Colombia: 3 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 30.3°C | Among large cities: above 8% | In Colombia: 2 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 19% | In Colombia: 5 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 45 days | Among large cities: above 98% | In Colombia: 2 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Colombia: 1 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Colombia: 1 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.8 m/s² | Among large cities: above 88% | In Colombia: 2 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Cali on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Cali on the live map
2.8 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Cali
- Bogotá · Colombia
- Medellín · Colombia
- Quito · Ecuador
- Bucaramanga · Colombia
Large cities in Colombia
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Cali, Colombia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/COL/cali BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_COL_cali_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Cali, Colombia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/COL/cali},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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