Climate risk in Port-au-Prince
Ouest, Haiti · 2M people in the urban area
What threatens Port-au-Prince most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Haiti
The sea at Port-au-Prince is projected to rise 246 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Santo Domingo: 228 mm.
Port-au-Prince's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Port-au-Prince's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Surabaya (Indonesia).
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.5°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-7%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Port-au-Prince would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 6.7 σ away. How close the match is: 11.8 σ to the climate of Surabaya today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Port-au-Prince
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Port-au-Prince | Among large cities | In Haiti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 209 days | Among large cities: above 75% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 32.2°C | Among large cities: above 17% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.1°C | Among large cities: above 56% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 14 days | Among large cities: above 67% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 246 mm | Among large cities: above 80% | |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.58 m/s² | Among large cities: above 73% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 39.98 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Port-au-Prince on the live map
See the tropical nights around Port-au-Prince on the live map
209 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Port-au-Prince
- Santiago de los Caballeros · Dominican Rep.
- Santo Domingo · Dominican Rep.
- Maracaibo · Venezuela
- Barranquilla · Colombia
Large cities in Haiti
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Port-au-Prince, Haiti: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/HTI/port-au-prince BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_HTI_port_au_prince_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Port-au-Prince, Haiti: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/HTI/port-au-prince},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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