Climate risk in Mumbai
Maharashtra, India · 19M people in the urban area
What threatens Mumbai most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of India
Mumbai had 33 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Delhi: 10 days.
Mumbai's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Mumbai's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Yangon (Myanmar).
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+9%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Mumbai would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 6.5 σ away. How close the match is: 10.4 σ to the climate of Yangon today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Mumbai stands out
319 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Delhi: 196 days.
Higher than in 88% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Mumbai
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Mumbai | Among large cities | In India |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 2 days | Among large cities: above 43% | In India: 46 of 50 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 319 days | Among large cities: above 88% | In India: 10 of 50 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.4°C | Among large cities: above 42% | In India: 46 of 50 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.4°C | Among large cities: above 11% | In India: 21 of 50 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 33 days | Among large cities: above 96% | In India: 3 of 50 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 169 mm | Among large cities: above 6% | In India: 4 of 8 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In India: 47 of 50 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In India: 23 of 49 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.56 m/s² | Among large cities: above 48% | In India: 25 of 50 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 39.35 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Mumbai on the live map
See the tropical nights around Mumbai on the live map
319 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in India
- Delhi
- Kolkata
- Chennai
- Bengaluru
- Hyderabad
- Amaravati
- Ahmedabad
- Howrah
- Pune
- Surat
- Kanpur
- Jaipur
- Lucknow
- Nagpur
- Patna
- Indore
- Vadodara
- Bhopal
- Coimbatore
- Ludhiana
- Agra
- Kalyān
- Visakhapatnam
- Kochi
- Nashik
- Tirunelveli
- Meerut
- Faridabad
- Varanasi
- Ghaziabad
- Asansol
- Jamshedpur
- Madurai
- Jabalpur
- Rajkot
- Dhanbad
- Amritsar
- Warangal
- Prayagraj
- Srinagar
- Vijayawada
- Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar
- Bhilai
- Solapur
- Jodhpur
- Gwalior
- Ranchi
- Tiruchirappalli
- Kota
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Mumbai, India: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/IND/mumbai BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_IND_mumbai_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Mumbai, India: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/IND/mumbai},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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