Criora

Climate risk in Multan

Punjab, Pakistan

Main risks in Multan

On heat, Multan ranks above at least 99% of the world's 626 large cities.

Heat
up to 46.3 °C in 2025 [1]
Higher than 99% of the world's large cities; 2nd of 12 large cities in Pakistan.
For comparison: Baghdad 51.3 °C, Khartoum 45.5 °C, Faridabad 43.6 °C.
46.3 °C Natural Earth

Hottest day of 2025

-40 55 °C
See the hottest days around Multan on the live map 

This week in Multan

This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [2] [3] [4]

Open the city on the map

The Earth right now

The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.

Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.

Open the live map

Where else Multan stands out

extremely high

Drought risk [5]

The top grade of its scale, shared by 5% of the world's large cities.

Around the city on the map

Drought

Natural Earth
Drought risk Low Low-Medium Medium-High High Extremely High
See the drought risk around Multan on the live map 

Multan's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [6] [7]

By the 2050s, Multan's climate will be unlike any large city's today, its own included; of the other cities, Gwalior (India) comes closest.

+1.7 °C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.7 °C

Average daily high, warmest month

+1.8 °C

Average nightly low, coldest month

+19%

Precipitation over the year

If emissions keep rising, it will differ even more from the climate of every large city today.

Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. All 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Gwalior. [8]

Everything else measured

From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C [1] 174 days higher than 97% of large cities Rank in Pakistan (1 = highest): 2 of 12
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [1] 208 nights higher than 75% of large cities Rank in Pakistan (1 = highest): 3 of 12
Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years [9] strong shaking, 0.14 g higher than 69% of large cities Rank in Pakistan (1 = highest): 12 of 12
Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [7] +2.1 °C higher than 57% of large cities Rank in Pakistan (1 = highest): 5 of 12
Water stress [5] High: 40 to 80% of the available water drawn the same grade as 14% of large cities; higher than 56%, lower than 30%
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [1] 1 day higher than 7% of large cities Rank in Pakistan (1 = highest): 11 of 12
River flood depth, 100-year event [10] Dry at the centre; other districts can flood like 85% of large cities
Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [11] 0% like 80% of large cities
Land burned in an average year [12] 0% like 84% of large cities
Tropical cyclone wind, once in 100 years [13] No hurricane or typhoon reaches here
Share of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) that a 100-year flood from the sea puts under 0.5 m of water or more [10] Far from the sea: no coastal flooding
  • Flood depth is given for one 1 km square at the city centre, in today's climate.
  • Earthquake shaking is given for firm ground in g, the acceleration of gravity: around 0.1 g shaking is strong and can cause light damage, on the US Geological Survey's scale. The figure is the typical value over all the land within 15 km of the centre, not that of one point. Soft ground, such as an old lake bed or river silt, shakes harder.
  • Land subsidence comes from a model of satellite radar measurements from 2013 to 2019 in 2 km squares, read over all the land within 15 km of the centre rather than at one point.
  • Water stress is the share of the available water drawn every year. Drought risk is how often droughts come, against the area's own usual rain, and how many people and how much farmland they would reach. Both are graded on WRI's own scale.
  • If emissions level off: the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
  • Water stress and drought risk have no rank in the country: they are steps of a scale, and many cities share one.
  • Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.

The nearest large cities

Distance from centre to centre.

Large cities in Pakistan

Climate risk in Pakistan 

Sources

  1. ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: hottest day, hot days, nights, heavy rain
  2. Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
  3. NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS): wildfire near the city now
  4. GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System: wildfire near the city now
  5. Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework: drought risk, water stress
  6. TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
  7. NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
  8. Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
  9. GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
  10. Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: river flood depth, coastal floods
  11. Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
  12. Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land
  13. IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind

About these sources 

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Cite this page

In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, ECCC, NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System, WRI, TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, GSHAP, HydroShare, GFED500, IRIS

APA

Criora. (2026). Multan, Pakistan: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/PAK/multan

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_PAK_multan_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Multan, Pakistan: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/PAK/multan},
  urldate = {2026-11-04}
}

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