Climate risk in Aleppo
Aleppo, Syria · 2.7M people in the urban area
What threatens Aleppo most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Syria
Aleppo's hottest day of 2025 reached 44.1°C.
Damascus: 41.6°C.
Aleppo's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Aleppo's climate comes closest to that of Sanliurfa (Turkey) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Iran: the place on the map
+1.8°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-8%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Sanliurfa (Turkey).
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How close the match is: 3.2 σ to the climate of Sanliurfa today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Aleppo stands out
82 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Damascus: 48 days.
The highest of the 3 large cities in Syria.
Higher than in 89% of the world's 630 large cities
+2.5°C
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions
Damascus: +2.4°C.
The highest of the 3 large cities in Syria.
Higher than in 86% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Aleppo
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Aleppo | Among large cities | In Syria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 82 days | Among large cities: above 89% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 110 days | Among large cities: above 52% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 44.1°C | Among large cities: above 94% | In Syria: 2 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.5°C | Among large cities: above 86% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.18 m/s² | Among large cities: above 66% | In Syria: 3 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Aleppo on the live map
See the hot days around Aleppo on the live map
82 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Aleppo
- Gaziantep · Turkey
- İskenderun · Turkey
- Kahramanmaraş · Turkey
- Homs · Syria
Large cities in Syria
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Aleppo, Syria: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SYR/aleppo BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_SYR_aleppo_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Aleppo, Syria: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SYR/aleppo},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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