Climate risk in Homs
Homs, Syria · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Homs most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Syria
Homs's hottest day of 2025 reached 44.3°C.
Aleppo: 44.1°C.
The highest of the 3 large cities in Syria.
Homs's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Homs is projected to have the climate that Aleppo (Syria) has today.
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-8%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Aleppo (Syria), and only in part.
How close the match is: 1.6 σ to the climate of Aleppo today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Homs stands out
1%
Land burned in an average year
Damascus: 0%.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
44 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Aleppo: 82 days.
Higher than in 79% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Homs
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Homs | Among large cities | In Syria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 44 days | Among large cities: above 79% | In Syria: 3 of 3 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 94 days | Among large cities: above 46% | In Syria: 2 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 44.3°C | Among large cities: above 94% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.4°C | Among large cities: above 79% | In Syria: 2 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 0 days | ||
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.6 m/s² | Among large cities: above 73% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Syria: 1 of 3 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Homs on the live map
See the land burned around Homs on the live map
1% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Homs
- Damascus · Syria
- Beirut · Lebanon
- Aleppo · Syria
- İskenderun · Turkey
Large cities in Syria
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Homs, Syria: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SYR/homs BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_SYR_homs_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Homs, Syria: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SYR/homs},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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