Climate risk in İskenderun
Hatay, Turkey · 297.9K people in the urban area
What threatens İskenderun most
- Earthquake
- Very high GSHAP
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- River flood
- 0.34 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Turkey
An earthquake's shaking at İskenderun can reach 5.44 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Istanbul: 2.15 m/s².
İskenderun's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, İskenderun's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Mersin (Turkey).
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-11%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Mersin (Turkey).
Its own climate today is 5.1 σ away. How close the match is: 5.2 σ to the climate of Mersin today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else İskenderun stands out
0.34 m
River flood depth, 100-year event
Istanbul: Dry at the city centre point.
Higher than in 91% of the world's 630 large cities
42.1°C
Hottest day of 2025
Istanbul: 34.4°C.
Higher than in 89% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at İskenderun
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | İskenderun | Among large cities | In Turkey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 12 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In Turkey: 19 of 32 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 110 days | Among large cities: above 52% | In Turkey: 4 of 32 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 42.1°C | Among large cities: above 89% | In Turkey: 10 of 32 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.5°C | Among large cities: above 83% | In Turkey: 17 of 32 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Turkey: 9 of 32 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 0.34 m | Among large cities: above 91% | In Turkey: 2 of 32 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 210 mm | Among large cities: above 50% | In Turkey: 5 of 8 |
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | In Turkey: 11 of 29 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Turkey: 1 of 29 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 5.44 m/s² | Among large cities: above 99% | In Turkey: 2 of 32 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around İskenderun on the live map
See how deep a river flood reaches around İskenderun on the live map
0.34 m © OpenStreetMap Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). İskenderun, Turkey: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/iskenderun BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_TUR_iskenderun_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {İskenderun, Turkey: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/iskenderun},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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