Climate risk in Izmir
İzmir Province, Turkey · 2.6M people in the urban area
What threatens Izmir most
- Earthquake
- Very high GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Turkey
An earthquake's shaking at Izmir can reach 4.75 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Istanbul: 2.15 m/s².
Izmir's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Izmir's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Adana (Turkey).
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-8%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Adana (Turkey).
Its own climate today is 3.1 σ away. How close the match is: 3.7 σ to the climate of Adana today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Izmir stands out
40.5°C
Hottest day of 2025
Istanbul: 34.4°C.
Higher than in 81% of the world's 630 large cities
42 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Istanbul: 0 days.
Higher than in 78% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Izmir
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Izmir | Among large cities | In Turkey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 42 days | Among large cities: above 78% | In Turkey: 12 of 32 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 73 days | Among large cities: above 40% | In Turkey: 11 of 32 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 40.5°C | Among large cities: above 81% | In Turkey: 16 of 32 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.4°C | Among large cities: above 77% | In Turkey: 24 of 32 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 4 days | Among large cities: above 30% | In Turkey: 6 of 32 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 216 mm | Among large cities: above 55% | In Turkey: 4 of 8 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 4.75 m/s² | Among large cities: above 98% | In Turkey: 4 of 32 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Izmir on the live map
See the hottest days around Izmir on the live map
40.5°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities in Turkey
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Izmir, Turkey: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/izmir BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_TUR_izmir_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Izmir, Turkey: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/izmir},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/TUR/izmir" title="Izmir, Turkey: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/izmir?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.