Climate risk in Malatya
Malatya, Turkey · 461.6K people in the urban area
What threatens Malatya most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- High GSHAP
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Turkey
Malatya is projected to be +2.8°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Istanbul: +2.3°C.
Malatya's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Malatya is projected to have the climate that Tashkent (Uzbekistan) has today.
+2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.7°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-5%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Malatya would have the climate that Ashgabat (Turkmenistan) has today.
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How close the match is: 1.8 σ to the climate of Tashkent today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Malatya stands out
2.76 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Istanbul: 2.15 m/s².
Higher than in 88% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Malatya
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Malatya | Among large cities | In Turkey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 25 days | Among large cities: above 69% | In Turkey: 14 of 32 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 35 days | Among large cities: above 31% | In Turkey: 18 of 32 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 38.9°C | Among large cities: above 70% | In Turkey: 19 of 32 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.8°C | Among large cities: above 97% | In Turkey: 2 of 32 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Turkey: 9 of 32 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Turkey: 1 of 29 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Turkey: 19 of 29 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 2.76 m/s² | Among large cities: above 88% | In Turkey: 16 of 32 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Malatya on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Malatya on the live map
2.76 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Malatya
- Adıyaman · Turkey
- Elâzığ · Turkey
- Sanliurfa · Turkey
- Kahramanmaraş · Turkey
Large cities in Turkey
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Malatya, Turkey: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/malatya BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_TUR_malatya_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Malatya, Turkey: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/malatya},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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