Criora

Climate risk in Trabzon

Trabzon, Turkey · 764.7K people in the urban area

What threatens Trabzon most

Drought
High WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Moderate GSHAP
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Turkey

Trabzon had 20 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.

Istanbul: 5 days.

The highest of the 32 large cities in Turkey.

20 days © OpenStreetMap
0 60 days
See the heavy rain days around Trabzon on the live map

Trabzon's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Trabzon's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Split (Croatia).

Climate risk in Split

+1.6°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2.2°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.3°C

Lowest in the coldest month

-3%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Split (Croatia).

Its own climate today is 2.3 σ away. How close the match is: 5.8 σ to the climate of Split today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Where else Trabzon stands out

2.02 m/s²

Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years

Istanbul: 2.15 m/s².

Higher than in 80% of the world's 627 large cities

+2.4°C

Warming by 2050, moderate emissions

Istanbul: +2.3°C.

Higher than in 76% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Trabzon

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 53 days Among large cities: above 35% In Turkey: 16 of 32
Hottest day of 2025 30.4°C Among large cities: above 9% In Turkey: 30 of 32
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.4°C Among large cities: above 76% In Turkey: 26 of 32
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 20 days Among large cities: above 85% In Turkey: 1 of 32
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In Turkey: 24 of 29
Drought risk High Among large cities: above 50% In Turkey: 1 of 29
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 2.02 m/s² Among large cities: above 80% In Turkey: 22 of 32
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Trabzon on the live map

See the earthquake hazard around Trabzon on the live map

Large cities near Trabzon

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Trabzon, Turkey: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/trabzon

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_TUR_trabzon_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Trabzon, Turkey: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/trabzon},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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