Climate risk in Kayseri
Kayseri, Turkey · 1.5M people in the urban area
What threatens Kayseri most
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Turkey
Kayseri is projected to be +2.6°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Istanbul: +2.3°C.
Kayseri's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Kayseri's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Kabul (Afghanistan).
+1.8°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.6°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Kayseri would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 1.2 σ away. How close the match is: 3.6 σ to the climate of Kabul today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Kayseri stands out
1.82 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Istanbul: 2.15 m/s².
Higher than in 76% of the world's 627 large cities
Hazards at Kayseri
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Kayseri | Among large cities | In Turkey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 8 days | Among large cities: above 55% | In Turkey: 20 of 32 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 5 days | Among large cities: above 19% | In Turkey: 29 of 32 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 38.6°C | Among large cities: above 68% | In Turkey: 20 of 32 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.6°C | Among large cities: above 90% | In Turkey: 9 of 32 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Turkey: 21 of 32 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | In Turkey: 11 of 29 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Turkey: 1 of 29 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.82 m/s² | Among large cities: above 76% | In Turkey: 29 of 32 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Kayseri on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Kayseri on the live map
1.82 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Kayseri
- Sivas · Turkey
- Kahramanmaraş · Turkey
- Adana · Turkey
- Tarsus · Turkey
Large cities in Turkey
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Kayseri, Turkey: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/kayseri BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_TUR_kayseri_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Kayseri, Turkey: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/TUR/kayseri},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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