Climate risk in Shiraz
Fars, Iran · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Shiraz most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- High GSHAP
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Iran
Shiraz had 103 days over 35 °C in 2025.
Tehran: 3 days.
Shiraz's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Shiraz's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Quetta (Pakistan).
+1.9°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+5%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Shiraz would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 2.4 σ away. How close the match is: 5.5 σ to the climate of Quetta today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Shiraz stands out
3.26 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Tehran: 4.06 m/s².
Higher than in 91% of the world's 627 large cities
41.7°C
Hottest day of 2025
Tehran: 35.7°C.
Higher than in 88% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Shiraz
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Shiraz | Among large cities | In Iran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 103 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Iran: 2 of 6 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 48 days | Among large cities: above 34% | In Iran: 4 of 6 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 41.7°C | Among large cities: above 88% | In Iran: 2 of 6 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.3°C | Among large cities: above 74% | In Iran: 6 of 6 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Iran: 1 of 6 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Iran: 1 of 6 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Iran: 4 of 6 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 3.26 m/s² | Among large cities: above 91% | In Iran: 5 of 6 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Iran: 1 of 6 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Shiraz on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Shiraz on the live map
3.26 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Shiraz
- Isfahan · Iran
- Dammam · Saudi Arabia
- Kuwait City · Kuwait
- Basra · Iraq
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Shiraz, Iran: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/IRN/shiraz BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_IRN_shiraz_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Shiraz, Iran: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/IRN/shiraz},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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