Climate risk in Fukuoka
Fukuoka, Japan · 2.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Fukuoka most
- Cyclone wind
- Category 3 once in 100 years IRIS
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Japan
Fukuoka had 23 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
Tokyo: 14 days.
Fukuoka's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Fukuoka is projected to have the climate that Wenzhou (China) has today.
+1.5°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Fukuoka would have the climate that Guilin (China) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.1 σ to the climate of Wenzhou today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Fukuoka
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Fukuoka | Among large cities | In Japan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 6 days | Among large cities: above 53% | In Japan: 5 of 11 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 121 days | Among large cities: above 57% | In Japan: 2 of 11 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 36.5°C | Among large cities: above 52% | In Japan: 5 of 11 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.1°C | Among large cities: above 60% | In Japan: 11 of 11 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 23 days | Among large cities: above 90% | In Japan: 2 of 11 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 214 mm | Among large cities: above 55% | In Japan: 7 of 10 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Japan: 5 of 11 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Japan: 1 of 11 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.26 m/s² | Among large cities: above 67% | In Japan: 11 of 11 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 50.23 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Fukuoka on the live map
See the hot days around Fukuoka on the live map




























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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Fukuoka, Japan: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/JPN/fukuoka BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_JPN_fukuoka_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Fukuoka, Japan: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/JPN/fukuoka},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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