Climate risk in Panama City
Panamá, Panama · 1.3M people in the urban area
What threatens Panama City most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Panama
Panama City had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
San José: 0 days.
Panama City's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Panama City's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Singapore (Singapore).
+1.1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Panama City would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 4.3 σ away. How close the match is: 7.7 σ to the climate of Singapore today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Panama City stands out
18 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
San José: 30 days.
Higher than in 79% of the world's 630 large cities
239 mm
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions
Barranquilla: 329 mm.
Higher than in 76% of the world's 205 large cities
Hazards at Panama City
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Panama City | Among large cities | In Panama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 31.7°C | Among large cities: above 15% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.4°C | Among large cities: above 12% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 18 days | Among large cities: above 79% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 239 mm | Among large cities: above 76% | |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.76 m/s² | Among large cities: above 75% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Panama City on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Panama City on the live map
18 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Panama City
- San José · Costa Rica
- Medellín · Colombia
- Barranquilla · Colombia
- Cali · Colombia
Large cities in Panama
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Panama City, Panama: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/PAN/panama-city BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_PAN_panama_city_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Panama City, Panama: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/PAN/panama-city},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/PAN/panama-city" title="Panama City, Panama: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/PAN/panama-city?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.