Climate risk in San Salvador
San Salvador Department, El Salvador · 1.4M people in the urban area
What threatens San Salvador most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- High GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of El Salvador
An earthquake's shaking at San Salvador can reach 3.36 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Guatemala City: 3.29 m/s².
San Salvador's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, San Salvador's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Goiânia (Brazil).
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-4%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Mbuji-Mayi (Dem. Rep. Congo).
Its own climate today is 4.2 σ away. How close the match is: 5.3 σ to the climate of Goiânia today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else San Salvador stands out
358 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Guatemala City: 0 days.
Higher than in 91% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at San Salvador
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | San Salvador | Among large cities | In El Salvador |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 15 days | Among large cities: above 62% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 358 days | Among large cities: above 91% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 36.4°C | Among large cities: above 51% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.9°C | Among large cities: above 41% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 14 days | Among large cities: above 67% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 3.36 m/s² | Among large cities: above 92% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 28.21 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around San Salvador on the live map
See the tropical nights around San Salvador on the live map




























358 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near San Salvador
- Guatemala City · Guatemala
- San José · Costa Rica
- Mérida · Mexico
- Puebla City · Mexico
Large cities in El Salvador
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). San Salvador, El Salvador: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SLV/san-salvador BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_SLV_san_salvador_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {San Salvador, El Salvador: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SLV/san-salvador},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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