Criora

Climate risk in Puebla City

Puebla, Mexico · 2.2M people in the urban area

What threatens Puebla City most

Water stress
High WRI Aqueduct
Drought
High WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Moderate GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Mexico

An earthquake's shaking at Puebla City can reach 1.11 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.

Mexico City: 1.13 m/s².

1.11 m/s² © OpenStreetMap
0 5 m/s²
See the earthquake hazard around Puebla City on the live map

Puebla City's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Puebla City's climate comes closest to that of Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl (Mexico) today, though no large city matches it well.

Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Mexico: the place on the map

Climate risk in Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl

+1.4°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.8°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.1°C

Lowest in the coldest month

-2%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is León (Mexico).

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How close the match is: 2.8 σ to the climate of Ciudad Nezahualcoyotl today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Hazards at Puebla City

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 0 days
Hottest day of 2025 30.3°C Among large cities: above 8% In Mexico: 8 of 11
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +1.8°C Among large cities: above 40% In Mexico: 11 of 11
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 10 days Among large cities: above 51% In Mexico: 1 of 11
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress High (40-80%) Among large cities: above 56% In Mexico: 7 of 11
Drought risk High Among large cities: above 50% In Mexico: 1 of 11
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 1.11 m/s² Among large cities: above 65% In Mexico: 6 of 11
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 32.59 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Puebla City on the live map

See the hottest days around Puebla City on the live map

Large cities near Puebla City

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Puebla City, Mexico: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/puebla-city

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_MEX_puebla_city_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Puebla City, Mexico: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/puebla-city},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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