Climate risk in Monterrey
Nuevo León, Mexico · 3.7M people in the urban area
What threatens Monterrey most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Mexico
Monterrey's hottest day of 2025 reached 40.7°C.
Mexico City: 30.2°C.
Monterrey's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Monterrey's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Patna (India).
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.8°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Monterrey would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 2.3 σ away. How close the match is: 6.4 σ to the climate of Patna today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Monterrey stands out
49 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Mexico City: 0 days.
Higher than in 81% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Monterrey
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Monterrey | Among large cities | In Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 49 days | Among large cities: above 81% | In Mexico: 4 of 11 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 164 days | Among large cities: above 68% | In Mexico: 2 of 11 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 40.7°C | Among large cities: above 83% | In Mexico: 2 of 11 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.2°C | Among large cities: above 70% | In Mexico: 2 of 11 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Mexico: 7 of 11 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In Mexico: 10 of 11 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Mexico: 2 of 11 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.43 m/s² | Among large cities: above 41% | In Mexico: 8 of 11 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 23.98 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Monterrey on the live map
See the hot days around Monterrey on the live map
49 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Monterrey
- Torreón · Mexico
- San Antonio · United States of America
- León · Mexico
- Austin · United States of America
Large cities in Mexico
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Monterrey, Mexico: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/monterrey BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MEX_monterrey_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Monterrey, Mexico: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/monterrey},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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