Climate risk in Austin
Texas, United States of America · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Austin most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America
Austin is projected to be +2.7°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
New York: +2.7°C.
Austin's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Austin is projected to have the climate that San Antonio (United States of America) has today.
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.9°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.5°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-4%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Austin would have the climate that San Antonio (United States of America) has today.
Share this comparison
How close the match is: 0.2 σ to the climate of San Antonio today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Austin stands out
68 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
New York: 3 days.
Higher than in 86% of the world's 630 large cities
40.3°C
Hottest day of 2025
New York: 36.7°C.
Higher than in 80% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Austin
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Austin | Among large cities | In United States of America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 68 days | Among large cities: above 86% | In United States of America: 4 of 51 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 157 days | Among large cities: above 66% | In United States of America: 7 of 51 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 40.3°C | Among large cities: above 80% | In United States of America: 4 of 51 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.7°C | Among large cities: above 94% | In United States of America: 11 of 51 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 10 days | Among large cities: above 51% | In United States of America: 22 of 51 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In United States of America: 18 of 48 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In United States of America: 1 of 48 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.12 m/s² | Among large cities: above 13% | In United States of America: 46 of 51 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 24.13 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Austin on the live map
See the hot days around Austin on the live map
68 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Austin
- San Antonio · United States of America
- Houston · United States of America
- Fort Worth · United States of America
- Dallas · United States of America
Large cities in United States of America
- New York
- Los Angeles
- Chicago
- Miami
- Philadelphia
- Dallas
- Atlanta
- Boston
- Houston
- Washington D.C.
- Detroit
- Phoenix
- San Francisco
- Seattle
- Irvine
- San Diego
- Minneapolis
- Tampa
- Denver
- Baltimore
- St Louis
- Fort Lauderdale
- Long Beach
- Cleveland
- Portland
- Pittsburgh
- Las Vegas
- San Bernardino
- San Jose
- Cincinnati
- Sacramento
- Oakland
- Virginia Beach
- San Antonio
- Kansas City
- Fort Worth
- Indianapolis
- Milwaukee
- Orlando
- Providence
- Columbus
- West Palm Beach
- Raleigh
- Birmingham
- Mesa
- Memphis
- Norfolk
- Bridgeport
- Buffalo
- Jacksonville
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Austin, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/austin BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_USA_austin_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Austin, United States of America: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/austin},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/USA/austin" title="Austin, United States of America: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/USA/austin?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.