Climate risk in Dallas
Texas, United States of America · 4.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Dallas most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America
Dallas is projected to be +2.8°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
New York: +2.7°C.
Dallas's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Dallas is projected to have the climate that Austin (United States of America) has today.
+1.8°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.6°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Dallas would have the climate that Austin (United States of America) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.6 σ to the climate of Austin today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Dallas
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Dallas | Among large cities | In United States of America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 31 days | Among large cities: above 72% | In United States of America: 7 of 51 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 135 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In United States of America: 12 of 51 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 38.9°C | Among large cities: above 69% | In United States of America: 8 of 51 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.8°C | Among large cities: above 98% | In United States of America: 2 of 51 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 15 days | Among large cities: above 71% | In United States of America: 6 of 51 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In United States of America: 27 of 48 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In United States of America: 1 of 48 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.17 m/s² | Among large cities: above 20% | In United States of America: 40 of 51 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 20.01 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Dallas on the live map
See the hot days around Dallas on the live map
31 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Dallas
- Fort Worth · United States of America
- Austin · United States of America
- Houston · United States of America
- San Antonio · United States of America
Large cities in United States of America
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- Long Beach
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- Las Vegas
- San Bernardino
- San Jose
- Cincinnati
- Sacramento
- Oakland
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- San Antonio
- Kansas City
- Fort Worth
- Indianapolis
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- Providence
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- West Palm Beach
- Raleigh
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- Mesa
- Memphis
- Norfolk
- Bridgeport
- Buffalo
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Dallas, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/dallas BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_USA_dallas_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Dallas, United States of America: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/dallas},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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