Criora

Climate risk in San Antonio

Texas, United States of America · 1.5M people in the urban area

What threatens San Antonio most

Water stress
High WRI Aqueduct
Drought
Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

San Antonio is projected to be +2.7°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.

New York: +2.7°C.

+2.7°C © OpenStreetMap
-2 8 °C
See the warming around San Antonio on the live map

San Antonio's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, San Antonio's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Rawalpindi (Pakistan).

Climate risk in Rawalpindi

+1.7°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.9°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.5°C

Lowest in the coldest month

-6%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, San Antonio would stay nearest its own climate today.

Its own climate today is 1.2 σ away. How close the match is: 2.6 σ to the climate of Rawalpindi today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else San Antonio stands out

50 days

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C

New York: 3 days.

Higher than in 82% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at San Antonio

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 50 days Among large cities: above 82% In United States of America: 5 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 155 days Among large cities: above 65% In United States of America: 8 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 38°C Among large cities: above 64% In United States of America: 10 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.7°C Among large cities: above 91% In United States of America: 21 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 7 days Among large cities: above 40% In United States of America: 33 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress High (40-80%) Among large cities: above 56% In United States of America: 11 of 48
Drought risk Medium-High Among large cities: above 13% In United States of America: 1 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.12 m/s² Among large cities: above 14% In United States of America: 44 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 24.6 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around San Antonio on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the hot days around San Antonio on the live map

50 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days

Large cities near San Antonio

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). San Antonio, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/san-antonio

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_san_antonio_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {San Antonio, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/san-antonio},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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