Criora

Climate risk in Orlando

Florida, United States of America · 1.4M people in the urban area

What threatens Orlando most

Water stress
Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Cyclone wind
Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

Orlando had 178 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.

New York: 56 days.

178 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days
See the tropical nights around Orlando on the live map

Orlando's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Orlando's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Tampa (United States of America).

Climate risk in Tampa

+1.2°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.3°C

Highest in the warmest month

+0.9°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+1%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Orlando would stay nearest its own climate today.

Its own climate today is 1.3 σ away. How close the match is: 2.0 σ to the climate of Tampa today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Hazards at Orlando

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 2 days Among large cities: above 43% In United States of America: 23 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 178 days Among large cities: above 69% In United States of America: 6 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 35.4°C Among large cities: above 42% In United States of America: 27 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.1°C Among large cities: above 57% In United States of America: 38 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 7 days Among large cities: above 40% In United States of America: 33 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Medium-High (20-40%) Among large cities: above 43% In United States of America: 18 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.12 m/s² Among large cities: above 14% In United States of America: 45 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 41.89 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Orlando on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset About these sources

See the hot days around Orlando on the live map

2 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days

Large cities near Orlando

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset

APA

Criora. (2026). Orlando, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/orlando

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_orlando_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Orlando, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/orlando},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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