Criora

Climate risk in Baltimore

Maryland, United States of America · 2.3M people in the urban area

What threatens Baltimore most

Drought
Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
River flood
1.54 m in a 100-year flood

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

A 100-year river flood would stand 1.54 m deep in the centre of Baltimore.

New York: Dry at the city centre point.

1.54 m © OpenStreetMap
0 3 m
See how deep a river flood reaches around Baltimore on the live map

Baltimore's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Baltimore is projected to have the climate that Memphis (United States of America) has today.

Climate risk in Memphis

+1.9°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2.1°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.8°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+3%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Baltimore would have the climate that Memphis (United States of America) has today.

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How close the match is: 0.2 σ to the climate of Memphis today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else Baltimore stands out

361 mm

Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions

New York: 346 mm.

Higher than in 96% of the world's 205 large cities

+2.7°C

Warming by 2050, moderate emissions

New York: +2.7°C.

Higher than in 91% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Baltimore

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 70 days Among large cities: above 39% In United States of America: 21 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 34.3°C Among large cities: above 32% In United States of America: 34 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.7°C Among large cities: above 91% In United States of America: 22 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 11 days Among large cities: above 57% In United States of America: 19 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event 1.54 m Among large cities: above 97% In United States of America: 3 of 51
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions 361 mm Among large cities: above 96% In United States of America: 4 of 19
Water stress Low-Medium (10-20%) Among large cities: above 30% In United States of America: 27 of 48
Drought risk Medium-High Among large cities: above 13% In United States of America: 1 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.28 m/s² Among large cities: above 29% In United States of America: 29 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 19.73 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Baltimore on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the sea level rise around Baltimore on the live map

361 mm © OpenStreetMap
0 1,000 mm

Large cities near Baltimore

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Baltimore, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/baltimore

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_baltimore_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Baltimore, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/baltimore},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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