Climate risk in Jacksonville
Florida, United States of America · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Jacksonville most
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America
The sea at Jacksonville is projected to rise 304 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
New York: 346 mm.
Jacksonville's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Jacksonville is projected to have the climate that Houston (United States of America) has today.
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+4%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Jacksonville would have the climate that Houston (United States of America) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.5 σ to the climate of Houston today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Jacksonville
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Jacksonville | Among large cities | In United States of America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 10 days | Among large cities: above 58% | In United States of America: 12 of 51 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 151 days | Among large cities: above 64% | In United States of America: 9 of 51 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37.3°C | Among large cities: above 58% | In United States of America: 12 of 51 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.2°C | Among large cities: above 66% | In United States of America: 36 of 51 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 15 days | Among large cities: above 71% | In United States of America: 6 of 51 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 304 mm | Among large cities: above 90% | In United States of America: 10 of 19 |
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | In United States of America: 11 of 48 |
| Drought risk | Low-Medium | Among large cities: above 1% | In United States of America: 17 of 48 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.19 m/s² | Among large cities: above 21% | In United States of America: 35 of 51 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 38.67 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Jacksonville on the live map
See the hot days around Jacksonville on the live map
10 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Jacksonville
- Orlando · United States of America
- Tampa · United States of America
- West Palm Beach · United States of America
- Atlanta · United States of America
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Jacksonville, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/jacksonville BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_USA_jacksonville_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Jacksonville, United States of America: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/jacksonville},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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