Criora

Climate risk in New York

New York, United States of America · 19M people in the urban area

What threatens New York most

Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

The sea at New York is projected to rise 346 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.

Los Angeles: 172 mm.

346 mm © OpenStreetMap
0 1,000 mm
See the sea level rise around New York on the live map

New York's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, New York is projected to have the climate that Virginia Beach (United States of America) has today.

Climate risk in Virginia Beach

+1.9°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.9°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+3%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, New York would have the climate that Virginia Beach (United States of America) has today.

Share this comparison

WhatsApp Telegram Viber X Facebook https://criora.com/atlas/USA/new-york?ref=card

How close the match is: 0.6 σ to the climate of Virginia Beach today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else New York stands out

+2.7°C

Warming by 2050, moderate emissions

Los Angeles: +2.1°C.

Higher than in 91% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at New York

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 3 days Among large cities: above 46% In United States of America: 19 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 56 days Among large cities: above 36% In United States of America: 26 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 36.7°C Among large cities: above 54% In United States of America: 19 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.7°C Among large cities: above 91% In United States of America: 19 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 9 days Among large cities: above 48% In United States of America: 27 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions 346 mm Among large cities: above 94% In United States of America: 6 of 19
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In United States of America: 38 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.61 m/s² Among large cities: above 50% In United States of America: 15 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 24.37 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around New York on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the warming around New York on the live map

+2.7°C © OpenStreetMap
-2 8 °C

Large cities near New York

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

Cite or embed

Cite this page

In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). New York, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/new-york

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_new_york_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {New York, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/new-york},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.

Embed on your site 
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/USA/new-york" title="New York, United States of America: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/USA/new-york?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>

Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.