Criora

Climate risk in Buffalo

New York, United States of America · 1M people in the urban area

What threatens Buffalo most

Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

Buffalo is projected to be +2.7°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.

New York: +2.7°C.

+2.7°C © OpenStreetMap
-2 8 °C
See the warming around Buffalo on the live map

Buffalo's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Buffalo's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is New York (United States of America).

Climate risk in New York

+2°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2.1°C

Highest in the warmest month

+2.8°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+4%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Buffalo would have the climate that New York (United States of America) has today.

Its own climate today is 1.0 σ away. How close the match is: 1.5 σ to the climate of New York today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Hazards at Buffalo

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 31 days Among large cities: above 30% In United States of America: 35 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 31°C Among large cities: above 11% In United States of America: 47 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.7°C Among large cities: above 94% In United States of America: 9 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 2 days Among large cities: above 16% In United States of America: 46 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In United States of America: 38 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.42 m/s² Among large cities: above 40% In United States of America: 23 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Buffalo on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the tropical nights around Buffalo on the live map

31 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days

Large cities near Buffalo

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

Cite or embed

Cite this page

In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Buffalo, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/buffalo

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_buffalo_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Buffalo, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/buffalo},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.

Embed on your site 
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/USA/buffalo" title="Buffalo, United States of America: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/USA/buffalo?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>

Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.