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Climate risk in San Jose

California, United States of America · 1.7M people in the urban area

What threatens San Jose most

Earthquake
Very high GSHAP
Water stress
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
River flood
0.05 m in a 100-year flood

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

An earthquake's shaking at San Jose can reach 5.34 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.

New York: 0.61 m/s².

5.34 m/s² © OpenStreetMap
0 5 m/s²
See the earthquake hazard around San Jose on the live map

San Jose's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, San Jose is projected to have the climate that Los Angeles (United States of America) has today.

Climate risk in Los Angeles

+1.4°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.6°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.2°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+2%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, San Jose would have the climate that Los Angeles (United States of America) has today.

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How close the match is: 1.3 σ to the climate of Los Angeles today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else San Jose stands out

0.05 m

River flood depth, 100-year event

New York: Dry at the city centre point.

Higher than in 85% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at San Jose

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 0 days
Hottest day of 2025 32.7°C Among large cities: above 20% In United States of America: 43 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +1.8°C Among large cities: above 38% In United States of America: 49 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 6 days Among large cities: above 37% In United States of America: 38 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event 0.05 m Among large cities: above 85% In United States of America: 12 of 51
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions 182 mm Among large cities: above 13% In United States of America: 17 of 19
Water stress Low-Medium (10-20%) Among large cities: above 30% In United States of America: 27 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 5.34 m/s² Among large cities: above 99% In United States of America: 2 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around San Jose on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See how deep a river flood reaches around San Jose on the live map

0.05 m © OpenStreetMap
0 3 m

Large cities near San Jose

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). San Jose, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/san-jose

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_san_jose_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {San Jose, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/san-jose},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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