Climate risk in Norfolk
Virginia, United States of America · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Norfolk most
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America
The sea at Norfolk is projected to rise 401 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
New York: 346 mm.
The highest of the 19 large cities in United States of America.
Norfolk's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Norfolk is projected to have the climate that Memphis (United States of America) has today.
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.7°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.6°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+2%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Norfolk would have the climate that Jinhua (China) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.9 σ to the climate of Memphis today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Norfolk stands out
+2.6°C
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions
New York: +2.7°C.
Higher than in 87% of the world's 630 large cities
17 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
New York: 9 days.
Higher than in 77% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Norfolk
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Norfolk | Among large cities | In United States of America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 3 days | Among large cities: above 46% | In United States of America: 19 of 51 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 93 days | Among large cities: above 45% | In United States of America: 17 of 51 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 36.1°C | Among large cities: above 48% | In United States of America: 21 of 51 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.6°C | Among large cities: above 87% | In United States of America: 25 of 51 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 17 days | Among large cities: above 77% | In United States of America: 3 of 51 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 401 mm | Among large cities: above 99% | In United States of America: 1 of 19 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In United States of America: 27 of 48 |
| Drought risk | Low-Medium | Among large cities: above 1% | In United States of America: 17 of 48 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.19 m/s² | Among large cities: above 21% | In United States of America: 36 of 51 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 32.28 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Norfolk on the live map
See the warming around Norfolk on the live map
+2.6°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Norfolk
- Virginia Beach · United States of America
- Washington D.C. · United States of America
- Raleigh · United States of America
- Baltimore · United States of America
Large cities in United States of America
- New York
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- Mesa
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- Bridgeport
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Norfolk, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/norfolk BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_USA_norfolk_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Norfolk, United States of America: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/norfolk},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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