Criora

Climate risk in Miami

Florida, United States of America · 5.6M people in the urban area

What threatens Miami most

Cyclone wind
Category 2 once in 100 years IRIS
Water stress
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

The sea at Miami is projected to rise 290 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.

New York: 346 mm.

290 mm © OpenStreetMap
0 1,000 mm
See the sea level rise around Miami on the live map

Miami's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Miami's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Havana (Cuba).

Climate risk in Havana

+1.1°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.3°C

Highest in the warmest month

+0.9°C

Lowest in the coldest month

0%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Miami would stay nearest its own climate today.

Its own climate today is 3.8 σ away. How close the match is: 6.5 σ to the climate of Havana today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else Miami stands out

295 days

Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C

New York: 56 days.

Higher than in 86% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Miami

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 0 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 295 days Among large cities: above 86% In United States of America: 2 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 32.3°C Among large cities: above 17% In United States of America: 44 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +1.9°C Among large cities: above 43% In United States of America: 48 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 14 days Among large cities: above 67% In United States of America: 12 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions 290 mm Among large cities: above 89% In United States of America: 11 of 19
Water stress Low-Medium (10-20%) Among large cities: above 30% In United States of America: 27 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.05 m/s² Among large cities: above 4% In United States of America: 51 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 45.76 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Miami on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset About these sources

See the tropical nights around Miami on the live map

295 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days

Large cities near Miami

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

Cite or embed

Cite this page

In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset

APA

Criora. (2026). Miami, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/miami

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_miami_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Miami, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/miami},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.

Embed on your site 
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/USA/miami" title="Miami, United States of America: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/USA/miami?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>

Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.