Criora

Climate risk in Providence

Rhode Island, United States of America · 1.3M people in the urban area

What threatens Providence most

Water stress
Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
River flood
0.13 m in a 100-year flood

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

The sea at Providence is projected to rise 350 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.

New York: 346 mm.

350 mm © OpenStreetMap
0 1,000 mm
See the sea level rise around Providence on the live map

Providence's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Providence is projected to have the climate that Cincinnati (United States of America) has today.

Climate risk in Cincinnati

+1.9°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2°C

Highest in the warmest month

+2.5°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+4%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Providence would have the climate that Philadelphia (United States of America) has today.

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How close the match is: 0.1 σ to the climate of Cincinnati today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else Providence stands out

+2.6°C

Warming by 2050, moderate emissions

New York: +2.7°C.

Higher than in 89% of the world's 630 large cities

0.13 m

River flood depth, 100-year event

New York: Dry at the city centre point.

Higher than in 87% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Providence

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 4 days Among large cities: above 49% In United States of America: 18 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 27 days Among large cities: above 28% In United States of America: 38 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 39°C Among large cities: above 70% In United States of America: 6 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.6°C Among large cities: above 89% In United States of America: 24 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 8 days Among large cities: above 45% In United States of America: 31 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event 0.13 m Among large cities: above 87% In United States of America: 9 of 51
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions 350 mm Among large cities: above 94% In United States of America: 5 of 19
Water stress Medium-High (20-40%) Among large cities: above 43% In United States of America: 18 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.38 m/s² Among large cities: above 37% In United States of America: 24 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 31.02 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Providence on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the warming around Providence on the live map

+2.6°C © OpenStreetMap
-2 8 °C

Large cities near Providence

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Providence, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/providence

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_providence_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Providence, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/providence},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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