Criora

Climate risk in Birmingham

Alabama, United States of America · 1.1M people in the urban area

What threatens Birmingham most

Water stress
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Earthquake
Low GSHAP

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

Birmingham is projected to be +2.4°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.

New York: +2.7°C.

+2.4°C © OpenStreetMap
-2 8 °C
See the warming around Birmingham on the live map

Birmingham's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Birmingham's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Atlanta (United States of America).

Climate risk in Atlanta

+1.6°C

Mean temperature over the year

+1.7°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.2°C

Lowest in the coldest month

+3%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, Birmingham would stay nearest its own climate today.

Its own climate today is 0.6 σ away. How close the match is: 4.8 σ to the climate of Atlanta today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Sources: TerraClimate NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)

Where else Birmingham stands out

16 days

Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025

New York: 9 days.

Higher than in 75% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Birmingham

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 1 day Among large cities: above 38% In United States of America: 26 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 103 days Among large cities: above 49% In United States of America: 14 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 35.5°C Among large cities: above 43% In United States of America: 26 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.4°C Among large cities: above 80% In United States of America: 31 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 16 days Among large cities: above 75% In United States of America: 4 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low-Medium (10-20%) Among large cities: above 30% In United States of America: 27 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 0.46 m/s² Among large cities: above 42% In United States of America: 20 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 25.5 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Birmingham on the live map

Sources: ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500) About these sources

See the heavy rain days around Birmingham on the live map

16 days © OpenStreetMap
0 60 days

Large cities near Birmingham

Large cities in United States of America

Climate risk profile of United States of America

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Birmingham, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/birmingham

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_birmingham_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Birmingham, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/birmingham},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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