Criora

Climate risk in Las Vegas

Nevada, United States of America · 1.8M people in the urban area

What threatens Las Vegas most

Earthquake
Moderate GSHAP
Drought
Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
Water stress
Low WRI Aqueduct

Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United States of America

Las Vegas had 71 days over 35 °C in 2025.

New York: 3 days.

71 days © OpenStreetMap
0 365 days
See the hot days around Las Vegas on the live map

Las Vegas's climate in the 2050s

2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions

By the 2050s, Las Vegas's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Baghdad (Iraq).

Climate risk in Baghdad

+1.8°C

Mean temperature over the year

+2.1°C

Highest in the warmest month

+1.2°C

Lowest in the coldest month

0%

Precipitation over the year

Under high emissions, the nearest is Baghdad (Iraq), and only in part.

Its own climate today is 2.6 σ away. How close the match is: 3.1 σ to the climate of Baghdad today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.

Where else Las Vegas stands out

41.3°C

Hottest day of 2025

New York: 36.7°C.

Higher than in 86% of the world's 630 large cities

+2.5°C

Warming by 2050, moderate emissions

New York: +2.7°C.

Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities

Hazards at Las Vegas

Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.

Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C 71 days Among large cities: above 87% In United States of America: 3 of 51
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C 93 days Among large cities: above 45% In United States of America: 17 of 51
Hottest day of 2025 41.3°C Among large cities: above 86% In United States of America: 3 of 51
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions +2.5°C Among large cities: above 83% In United States of America: 29 of 51
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 1 day Among large cities: above 7% In United States of America: 50 of 51
River flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Coastal flood depth, 100-year event Dry at the city centre point
Water stress Low (<10%) Among large cities: above 0% In United States of America: 38 of 48
Drought risk Low-Medium Among large cities: above 1% In United States of America: 17 of 48
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years 1.2 m/s² Among large cities: above 66% In United States of America: 13 of 51
Land burned in an average year 0%
Cyclone wind, once in 100 years 0 m/s

Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Las Vegas on the live map

See the hottest days around Las Vegas on the live map

Large cities near Las Vegas

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In a line

Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500

APA

Criora. (2026). Las Vegas, United States of America: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/USA/las-vegas

BibTeX

@misc{criora_atlas_USA_las_vegas_2026,
  author = {{Criora}},
  title = {Las Vegas, United States of America: climate risk profile},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://criora.com/atlas/USA/las-vegas},
  urldate = {2026-11-02}
}

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