Climate risk in Mérida
Yucatán, Mexico · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Mérida most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Mexico
Mérida had 102 days over 35 °C in 2025.
Mexico City: 0 days.
The highest of the 11 large cities in Mexico.
Mérida's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Mérida's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Port-au-Prince (Haiti).
Climate risk in Port-au-Prince
+1.1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-7%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Mérida would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 2.0 σ away. How close the match is: 5.5 σ to the climate of Port-au-Prince today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Mérida stands out
2%
Land burned in an average year
Mexico City: 0%.
The highest of the 11 large cities in Mexico.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
308 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Mexico City: 0 days.
The highest of the 11 large cities in Mexico.
Higher than in 87% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Mérida
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Mérida | Among large cities | In Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 102 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Mexico: 1 of 11 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 308 days | Among large cities: above 87% | In Mexico: 1 of 11 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 40.5°C | Among large cities: above 81% | In Mexico: 3 of 11 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.9°C | Among large cities: above 42% | In Mexico: 8 of 11 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 3 days | Among large cities: above 24% | In Mexico: 7 of 11 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Mexico: 11 of 11 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Mexico: 2 of 11 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.07 m/s² | Among large cities: above 6% | In Mexico: 11 of 11 |
| Land burned in an average year | 2% | Among large cities: above 93% | In Mexico: 1 of 11 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 34.54 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Mérida on the live map
See the land burned around Mérida on the live map
2% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Mérida
- Guatemala City · Guatemala
- Havana · Cuba
- San Salvador · El Salvador
- Puebla City · Mexico
Large cities in Mexico
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Mérida, Mexico: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/merida BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MEX_merida_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Mérida, Mexico: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/merida},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/MEX/merida" title="Mérida, Mexico: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/MEX/merida?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.