Climate risk in Port Elizabeth
Eastern Cape, South Africa · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Port Elizabeth most
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of South Africa
The sea at Port Elizabeth is projected to rise 218 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Cape Town: 201 mm.
Port Elizabeth's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Port Elizabeth's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is São Paulo (Brazil).
+1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Port Elizabeth would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 3.6 σ away. How close the match is: 8.0 σ to the climate of São Paulo today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Port Elizabeth
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Port Elizabeth | Among large cities | In South Africa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 30 days | Among large cities: above 29% | In South Africa: 2 of 7 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 30.7°C | Among large cities: above 9% | In South Africa: 6 of 7 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.3°C | Among large cities: above 8% | In South Africa: 5 of 7 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In South Africa: 7 of 7 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 218 mm | Among large cities: above 61% | |
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | In South Africa: 6 of 7 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In South Africa: 5 of 7 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.11 m/s² | Among large cities: above 13% | In South Africa: 3 of 7 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Port Elizabeth on the live map
See the tropical nights around Port Elizabeth on the live map
30 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Port Elizabeth
- Cape Town · South Africa
- Durban · South Africa
- Vereeniging · South Africa
- Johannesburg · South Africa
Large cities in South Africa
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Port Elizabeth, South Africa: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ZAF/port-elizabeth BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ZAF_port_elizabeth_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Port Elizabeth, South Africa: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ZAF/port-elizabeth},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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