Climate risk in Bilbao
Basque Country, Spain · 875.6K people in the urban area
What threatens Bilbao most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Spain
The sea at Bilbao is projected to rise 233 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Barcelona: 260 mm.
Bilbao's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Bilbao is projected to have the climate that Santander (Spain) has today.
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-7%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Santander (Spain), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 1.7 σ to the climate of Santander today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Bilbao
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Bilbao | Among large cities | In Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 2 days | Among large cities: above 17% | In Spain: 20 of 24 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 34°C | Among large cities: above 29% | In Spain: 14 of 24 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 19% | In Spain: 18 of 24 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Spain: 19 of 24 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 233 mm | Among large cities: above 74% | In Spain: 9 of 15 |
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In Spain: 14 of 24 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Spain: 13 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.64 m/s² | Among large cities: above 52% | In Spain: 16 of 24 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Bilbao on the live map
See the tropical nights around Bilbao on the live map
2 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Bilbao
- Vitoria-Gasteiz · Spain
- Santander · Spain
- Donostia / San Sebastian · Spain
- Pamplona · Spain
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Bilbao, Spain: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/bilbao BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ESP_bilbao_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Bilbao, Spain: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/bilbao},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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