Climate risk in Murcia
Murcia, Spain · 406.8K people in the urban area
What threatens Murcia most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- River flood
- 5.53 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Spain
A 100-year river flood would stand 5.53 m deep in the centre of Murcia.
Madrid: Dry at the city centre point.
The highest of the 24 large cities in Spain.
Murcia's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Murcia's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Seville (Spain).
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-12%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Murcia would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 2.7 σ away. How close the match is: 3.6 σ to the climate of Seville today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Murcia stands out
42°C
Hottest day of 2025
Madrid: 39.2°C.
Higher than in 88% of the world's 630 large cities
45 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Madrid: 36 days.
Higher than in 79% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Murcia
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Murcia | Among large cities | In Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 45 days | Among large cities: above 79% | In Spain: 4 of 24 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 80 days | Among large cities: above 41% | In Spain: 8 of 24 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 42°C | Among large cities: above 88% | In Spain: 3 of 24 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 40% | In Spain: 6 of 24 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 2 days | Among large cities: above 16% | In Spain: 16 of 24 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 5.53 m | Among large cities: above 100% | In Spain: 1 of 24 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Spain: 1 of 24 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Spain: 1 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.79 m/s² | Among large cities: above 76% | In Spain: 2 of 24 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Murcia on the live map
See the hottest days around Murcia on the live map
42°C © OpenStreetMap Cite or embed
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Murcia, Spain: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/murcia BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ESP_murcia_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Murcia, Spain: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/murcia},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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