Climate risk in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Canary Islands, Spain · 336.1K people in the urban area
What threatens Santa Cruz de Tenerife most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Spain
The sea at Santa Cruz de Tenerife is projected to rise 278 mm by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Barcelona: 260 mm.
Santa Cruz de Tenerife's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Santa Cruz de Tenerife's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (Spain).
Climate risk in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
+0.9°C
Mean temperature over the year
+0.9°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-14%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Santa Cruz de Tenerife would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 5.6 σ away. How close the match is: 14.9 σ to the climate of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Santa Cruz de Tenerife | Among large cities | In Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 136 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In Spain: 2 of 24 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 26.4°C | Among large cities: above 1% | In Spain: 24 of 24 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.2°C | Among large cities: above 3% | In Spain: 24 of 24 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 2 days | Among large cities: above 16% | In Spain: 16 of 24 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 278 mm | Among large cities: above 87% | In Spain: 1 of 15 |
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In Spain: 14 of 24 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.15 m/s² | Among large cities: above 17% | In Spain: 23 of 24 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Santa Cruz de Tenerife on the live map
See the tropical nights around Santa Cruz de Tenerife on the live map
136 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · Spain
- Casablanca · Morocco
- Rabat · Morocco
- Nouakchott · Mauritania
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/santa-cruz-de-tenerife BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ESP_santa_cruz_de_tenerife_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ESP/santa-cruz-de-tenerife},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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