Climate risk in Belém
Pará, Brazil · 2.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Belém most
- Drought
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
Belém had 29 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
São Paulo: 8 days.
Belém's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Belém is projected to have the climate that George Town (Malaysia) has today.
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-5%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is George Town (Malaysia), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 0.5 σ to the climate of George Town today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Belém stands out
365 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
São Paulo: 48 days.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Belém
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Belém | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 33.2°C | Among large cities: above 24% | In Brazil: 12 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.6°C | Among large cities: above 25% | In Brazil: 5 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 29 days | Among large cities: above 94% | In Brazil: 2 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 213 mm | Among large cities: above 54% | In Brazil: 7 of 14 |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Brazil: 12 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Low-Medium | Among large cities: above 1% | In Brazil: 19 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.02 m/s² | Among large cities: above 2% | In Brazil: 16 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Belém on the live map
See the tropical nights around Belém on the live map
365 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Belém
- São Luís · Brazil
- Vila Velha · Brazil
- Fortaleza · Brazil
- Manaus · Brazil
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Belém, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/belem BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_belem_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Belém, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/belem},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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