Climate risk in Manaus
Amazonas, Brazil · 1.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Manaus most
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
Manaus had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
São Paulo: 48 days.
Manaus's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Manaus is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Jakarta (Indonesia), is far from it.
No place on Earth matches it well today either. Thailand: the place on the map
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.4°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Jakarta (Indonesia).
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How close the match is: 6.0 σ to the climate of Jakarta today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Manaus stands out
25 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
São Paulo: 8 days.
Higher than in 92% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Manaus
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Manaus | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 5 days | Among large cities: above 51% | In Brazil: 3 of 22 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.9°C | Among large cities: above 47% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 22% | In Brazil: 6 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 25 days | Among large cities: above 92% | In Brazil: 3 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Brazil: 12 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Low | Among large cities: above 0% | In Brazil: 21 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.04 m/s² | Among large cities: above 4% | In Brazil: 8 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Manaus on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Manaus on the live map
25 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Manaus
- Vila Velha · Brazil
- Belém · Brazil
- Santa Cruz de la Sierra · Bolivia
- Caracas · Venezuela
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Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Manaus, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/manaus BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_manaus_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Manaus, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/manaus},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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