Climate risk in Salvador
Bahia, Brazil · 3.5M people in the urban area
What threatens Salvador most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- River flood
- 0.71 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
A 100-year river flood would stand 0.71 m deep in the centre of Salvador.
São Paulo: Dry at the city centre point.
Salvador's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Salvador is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire), is far from it.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Jamaica: the place on the map
+1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-8%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire).
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How close the match is: 4.5 σ to the climate of Abidjan today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Salvador stands out
365 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
São Paulo: 48 days.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Salvador
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Salvador | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 29.2°C | Among large cities: above 5% | In Brazil: 22 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.3°C | Among large cities: above 9% | In Brazil: 15 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 12 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In Brazil: 8 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 0.71 m | Among large cities: above 94% | In Brazil: 2 of 22 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 213 mm | Among large cities: above 54% | In Brazil: 7 of 14 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Brazil: 5 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.01 m/s² | Among large cities: above 2% | In Brazil: 18 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Salvador on the live map
See the tropical nights around Salvador on the live map
365 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Salvador
- Maceió · Brazil
- Recife · Brazil
- Vila Velha · Brazil
- Vitória · Brazil
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Salvador, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/salvador BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_salvador_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Salvador, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/salvador},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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