Climate risk in Vila Velha
Amapá, Brazil · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Vila Velha most
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- River flood
- 0.42 m in a 100-year flood
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
Vila Velha had 45 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025.
São Paulo: 8 days.
The highest of the 22 large cities in Brazil.
Vila Velha's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Vila Velha is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Manaus (Brazil), is far from it.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. Brazil: the place on the map
+1.1°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-8%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Jakarta (Indonesia).
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How close the match is: 5.6 σ to the climate of Manaus today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Vila Velha stands out
365 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
São Paulo: 48 days.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
0.42 m
River flood depth, 100-year event
São Paulo: Dry at the city centre point.
Higher than in 92% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Vila Velha
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Vila Velha | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 34.2°C | Among large cities: above 31% | In Brazil: 7 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.4°C | Among large cities: above 15% | In Brazil: 8 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 45 days | Among large cities: above 98% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | 0.42 m | Among large cities: above 92% | In Brazil: 3 of 22 |
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 222 mm | Among large cities: above 66% | In Brazil: 3 of 14 |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Brazil: 12 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Low | Among large cities: above 0% | In Brazil: 21 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.04 m/s² | Among large cities: above 4% | In Brazil: 7 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Brazil: 2 of 22 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Vila Velha on the live map
See the tropical nights around Vila Velha on the live map
365 days © OpenStreetMap Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Vila Velha, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/vila-velha BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_vila_velha_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Vila Velha, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/vila-velha},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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