Climate risk in Belo Horizonte
Minas Gerais, Brazil · 5.6M people in the urban area
What threatens Belo Horizonte most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
Belo Horizonte is projected to be +1.9°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
São Paulo: +1.5°C.
The highest of the 22 large cities in Brazil.
Belo Horizonte's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Belo Horizonte's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Maputo (Mozambique).
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.8°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-4%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Maputo (Mozambique).
Its own climate today is 4.2 σ away. How close the match is: 4.7 σ to the climate of Maputo today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Belo Horizonte
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Belo Horizonte | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 12 days | Among large cities: above 23% | In Brazil: 21 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 33°C | Among large cities: above 22% | In Brazil: 13 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.9°C | Among large cities: above 42% | In Brazil: 1 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 4 days | Among large cities: above 30% | In Brazil: 19 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Brazil: 5 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.01 m/s² | Among large cities: above 1% | In Brazil: 19 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Belo Horizonte on the live map
See the tropical nights around Belo Horizonte on the live map
12 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Belo Horizonte
- Niterói · Brazil
- Rio de Janeiro · Brazil
- Vitória · Brazil
- Vila Velha · Brazil
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Belo Horizonte, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/belo-horizonte BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_belo_horizonte_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Belo Horizonte, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/belo-horizonte},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/BRA/belo-horizonte" title="Belo Horizonte, Brazil: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/belo-horizonte?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.