Climate risk in Campinas
São Paulo, Brazil · 2.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Campinas most
- Water stress
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Brazil
In an average year, fire burns 1% of the land around Campinas.
São Paulo: 0%.
1% © OpenStreetMap Campinas's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Campinas's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Maputo (Mozambique).
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.6°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.2°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Campinas would have the climate that Maputo (Mozambique) has today.
Its own climate today is 0.9 σ away. How close the match is: 2.0 σ to the climate of Maputo today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Campinas
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Campinas | Among large cities | In Brazil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 2 days | Among large cities: above 43% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 73 days | Among large cities: above 40% | In Brazil: 18 of 22 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.8°C | Among large cities: above 46% | In Brazil: 5 of 22 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.7°C | Among large cities: above 32% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 8 days | Among large cities: above 45% | In Brazil: 14 of 22 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Medium-High (20-40%) | Among large cities: above 43% | In Brazil: 2 of 22 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Brazil: 4 of 22 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.02 m/s² | Among large cities: above 3% | In Brazil: 14 of 22 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Brazil: 2 of 22 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Campinas on the live map
See the hot days around Campinas on the live map
2 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Campinas
- São Paulo · Brazil
- Santos · Brazil
- Curitiba · Brazil
- Rio de Janeiro · Brazil
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Campinas, Brazil: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/campinas BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BRA_campinas_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Campinas, Brazil: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BRA/campinas},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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